Preliminary Space Wargame Scenario
It’s 2037. Putin is dead. His successor, frustrated by the continued armistice and partition of Ukraine, launches an attack on Southern and Western Ukraine to complete Ukraine’s absorption. Since 2022, Westinghouse completed at least two of the promised five new U.S. reactors in Western Ukraine at Khmelnitsky. Additional U.S. power reactors have been built, as promised, in Poland and Romania. After several weeks of fighting, the Russians militarily assault and occupy the Khmelnitsky plant and garrison missile strike forces within that reactor site. The Ukrainians target those units using U.S.-supplied weapons that have entered Ukraine through Romania and Poland. Russia publicly demands that NATO cease supplying such weaponry through Poland and Romania. Meanwhile, in a repeat of the tactics Moscow used in 2022 against Zaporizhzhya, Russia fires missiles that knock down several of the power lines into the plant. When there is only one power line left, the Ukrainians put all but one of the reactors at the plant on cold shutdown. Romania and Poland (both NATO and EU nations) encourage their populations to avail themselves of stockpiled iodine pills. The Russians blame the Ukrainians for targeting the felled power lines. The Ukrainians blame the Russians. Then, in early April, the last power line into the plant temporarily stops functioning and the plant is forced to run its emergency diesel generators (which have enough fuel, but for no more than ten days). This sets off alarms. Due to the conflict, it will be dangerous to access the plant. Nonetheless, in a repeat of 2022, the IAEA sends inspectors to assess the safety of the plant. While they are en route, the Russians bomb and disable the travel corridor to the plant, deny responsibility, and accuse the Ukrainians of having bombed the corridor. This strike also damages one of the IAEA vehicles and injures an inspector. The Russians, Ukrainians, and the IAEA call for an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council.